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COUNTRY PROFILE · SDN

Sudan 🇸🇩

Limited disruption pressure across 37 representative jobs covering 90.7% of the country's modelled GDP. The Rebellion Risk profile adds a structural-pressure view of how disruption may interact with economic strain, governance, civic space, support systems, and history. Government Preparedness then measures observable capacity to prevent, absorb, and respond to AI-related shocks. These are evidence indexes, not forecasts.

JOB DOOM11.9out of 100GDP-weighted disruption profile, not an unemployment forecast
Job Doom
11.9
GDP coverage
90.7%
Confidence
72/100
Economic data
2025
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GDP-WEIGHTED REPRESENTATIVE WORK

Jobs shaping Sudan's score

GDP shares are transparent estimates derived from World Bank sector value added and a fixed sector-to-occupation allocation. They describe economic importance, not the percentage of workers in each job.

37 of 37 jobs

  1. Crop and nursery farmworkers

    Agriculture, forestry and fishing
    Estimated GDP share
    17.03%
    Job Doom
    4.4
    Confidence
    74/100
    Job evidence →

  2. Agricultural production managers

    Agriculture, forestry and fishing
    Estimated GDP share
    5.87%
    Job Doom
    9.4
    Confidence
    82/100
    Job evidence →

  3. Carpenters and joiners

    Construction and utilities
    Estimated GDP share
    5.61%
    Job Doom
    4.5
    Confidence
    70/100
    Job evidence →

  4. Building electricians

    Construction and utilities
    Estimated GDP share
    4.68%
    Job Doom
    6.7
    Confidence
    70/100
    Job evidence →

  5. Infrastructure maintenance workers

    Construction and utilities
    Estimated GDP share
    4.68%
    Job Doom
    6.1
    Confidence
    71/100
    Job evidence →

  6. Retail salespersons

    Trade, transport and distribution
    Estimated GDP share
    3.60%
    Job Doom
    31.8
    Confidence
    68/100
    Job evidence →

  7. Fishing and aquaculture workers

    Agriculture, forestry and fishing
    Estimated GDP share
    3.52%
    Job Doom
    6.1
    Confidence
    80/100
    Job evidence →

  8. Agricultural technicians

    Agriculture, forestry and fishing
    Estimated GDP share
    2.94%
    Job Doom
    9.4
    Confidence
    67/100
    Job evidence →

  9. Civil engineers

    Construction and utilities
    Estimated GDP share
    2.81%
    Job Doom
    11.0
    Confidence
    74/100
    Job evidence →

  10. Construction managers

    Construction and utilities
    Estimated GDP share
    2.81%
    Job Doom
    18.6
    Confidence
    74/100
    Job evidence →

  11. Power production plant operators

    Construction and utilities
    Estimated GDP share
    2.81%
    Job Doom
    11.1
    Confidence
    69/100
    Job evidence →

  12. Heavy truck and lorry drivers

    Trade, transport and distribution
    Estimated GDP share
    2.66%
    Job Doom
    8.6
    Confidence
    70/100
    Job evidence →

  13. Cashiers and ticket clerks

    Trade, transport and distribution
    Estimated GDP share
    2.00%
    Job Doom
    18.6
    Confidence
    71/100
    Job evidence →

  14. Mining and quarrying operators

    Mining and energy extraction
    Estimated GDP share
    1.80%
    Job Doom
    3.8
    Confidence
    65/100
    Job evidence →

  15. Hotel and office cleaners

    Hospitality and personal services
    Estimated GDP share
    1.69%
    Job Doom
    4.2
    Confidence
    67/100
    Job evidence →

  16. Registered nurses

    Public, health and education services
    Estimated GDP share
    1.55%
    Job Doom
    12.2
    Confidence
    80/100
    Job evidence →

  17. Cooks

    Hospitality and personal services
    Estimated GDP share
    1.51%
    Job Doom
    7.1
    Confidence
    69/100
    Job evidence →

  18. Hotel receptionists

    Hospitality and personal services
    Estimated GDP share
    1.51%
    Job Doom
    27.8
    Confidence
    71/100
    Job evidence →

  19. Primary school teachers

    Public, health and education services
    Estimated GDP share
    1.44%
    Job Doom
    15.0
    Confidence
    76/100
    Job evidence →

  20. Client information workers

    Trade, transport and distribution
    Estimated GDP share
    1.33%
    Job Doom
    54.5
    Confidence
    70/100
    Job evidence →
EVIDENCE OVER TIME

Country score progression

Historical country points reuse the same current GDP weights so changes represent new occupation evidence rather than changes in economic composition.

025507510013.82025-0511.92026-0311.92026-06
  1. 13.8
  2. 11.9
  3. 11.9
ECONOMIC BASIS

Sector profile and provenance

Reported sector shares. The latest available value is used for each top-level sector. Manufacturing is shown inside industry and is not added to the 100% total a second time.

Agriculture
29.4%
Industry
33.6%
Manufacturing within GDP
5.1%
Services
37.0%
CURRENT REBELLION RISK SNAPSHOT

Structural pressure in Sudan

Material structural pressure at 48.5 out of 100. This is a comparative early-warning index, not a probability or prediction that an uprising will occur.

REBELLION RISK48.5out of 100Material structural pressure, confidence 83/100
Small protest pressure
35.2
Emerging structural pressure
Medium protest pressure
39.0
Emerging structural pressure
Large protest pressure
54.9
Material structural pressure
AI displacement pressure11.9
Economic and labour strain35.2
Governance and lawful-response fragility74.9
Social shock-absorption deficit75.0
Civic and legal restriction pressure91.0
Economic protest and mobilization history25.0

Current input snapshot

Unemployment
7.5% (2022)
Youth unemployment
12.0% (2022)
Inflation
138.8% (2022)
Political stability
31.3/100
Government effectiveness
16.5/100
Rule of law
26.4/100
Voice and accountability
23.9/100
Civic space
Closed (9/100)
Social protection
9.7% (ILO income-group estimate)

Recorded protest history

Economic protests in Carnegie tracker
0
Economic protests since 2023
0
Largest recorded size band
Not recorded
UCDP violent political protest events
33
Latest UCDP year
2023

No economically motivated protest is recorded for this country in the selective Carnegie tracker. This is not evidence that none occurred.

Confidence is reduced for modelled inputs. Social protection uses the ILO's 2023 low income group estimate because a complete country-level public download was unavailable. Other fallback fields: none.

REPORTS OVER TIME

Rebellion Risk timeline

This first publication establishes the initial snapshot. Complete future reports append comparable points instead of silently replacing earlier assessments.

025507510048.52026-08
  1. 48.5Initial published snapshot

Compare all countries and impact layers → Read the complete method →

CURRENT GOVERNMENT PREPAREDNESS SNAPSHOT

Public capacity in Sudan

Limited observed preparedness at 23.2 out of 100. This comparison measures documented capacity, not a guarantee, endorsement, or prediction of future government performance.

GOVERNMENT PREPAREDNESS23.2out of 100Limited observed preparedness, confidence 66/100
Prevent
19.6
Prevent avoidable AI harm
Absorb
29.0
Absorb economic and cyber shocks
Respond
23.1
Respond lawfully and effectively
Responsible AI governance safeguards14.8
Digital state capacity27.6
Cyber resilience48.2
Social shock protection9.7
Institutional execution23.2
Crisis-response capacity23.0

Current input snapshot

Responsible AI safeguards
14.8/100 (2026)
Digital state capacity
27.6/100 (2024)
Cyber resilience
48.2/100 (2024)
Social shock protection
9.7/100 (2023)
Institutional execution
23.2/100 (2024)
Crisis-response capacity
23.0/100 (2026)

Model interpretation

Weakest stage
Prevent avoidable AI harm
Overall method
Weighted geometric mean
Observed fallbacks
1
Confidence
66/100

Prevention carries 40% of the final score. Absorption and response each carry 30%. The geometric mean limits compensation when one stage is materially weaker.

Confidence is reduced for modelled inputs. Social protection uses the ILO's 2023 low income estimate. Other fallbacks: Responsible AI safeguards.

REPORTS OVER TIME

Government Preparedness timeline

This first publication establishes the initial snapshot. Complete future reports append comparable points and retain the previous validated generation.

025507510023.22026-08
  1. 23.2Initial published snapshot

Compare all countries and capacity layers → Read the complete method →

DOOMBENCH ASSOCIATIONS

People and companies

Associations reuse reviewed People country codes and Company headquarters data. They support navigation only and never change a country or job score.

People (0)

No published people profiles are currently associated with Sudan.

Companies (0)

No published company profiles are currently associated with Sudan.

SHARE THE FINDINGS

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DoomBench social sharing card for Sudan.

  1. Sudan has a DoomBench Job Doom score of 11.9 out of 100 across 37 representative jobs covering 90.7% of the country's modelled GDP.

  2. Sudan has a DoomBench Rebellion Risk score of 48.5 out of 100, with civic and legal restriction pressure currently the strongest modelled structural-pressure factor.

  3. Sudan has a DoomBench Government Preparedness score of 23.2 out of 100, with prevent avoidable ai harm identified as its weakest current capacity stage.

    https://www.doombench.com/countries/sudan