Competitive race

DeepSeek releases open-weight DeepSeek-V3

DeepSeek released DeepSeek-V3, a 671-billion-parameter mixture-of-experts model with 37 billion active parameters, open weights and low-cost API access after efficient training.

CURRENT ASSESSMENT · REVISION 1
TOWARD DOOM75confidence 99/100

Why it moved the index

A high-performing frontier-scale mixture-of-experts model became available through open weights and inexpensive API access, demonstrating substantial training-efficiency gains and intensifying global capability diffusion and competition.

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AUDIT TRAIL

Assessment history

  1. R1
    Toward 75 · confidence 99

    New December 2024 exact open-weight frontier model with no durable identity collision.

    12 Aug 2026