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Human displacement

Goldman Sachs forecasts automation could displace 6% to 7% of US workers

Goldman Sachs Research forecast that automation could displace 6% to 7% of US workers over the next decade and reported that historically displaced workers faced longer job searches, larger earnings losses, and persistent scarring, while retraining improved transitions.

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CURRENT ASSESSMENT · REVISION 1
TOWARD DOOM30confidence 58/100

Why it moved the index

The analysis adds quantified evidence about the scale and persistence of worker harm that may accompany AI-driven automation, including slower re-employment and earnings losses. Confidence is capped because the forward-looking AI claim is extrapolated from historical automation rather than observed decade-long AI displacement.

Assessment history

  1. R1
    Toward 30 · confidence 58

    Adds a dated institutional forecast and historical worker-transition evidence directly relevant to large-scale AI labor displacement.

    12 Sept 2026

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  1. DoomBench assesses “Goldman Sachs forecasts automation could displace 6% to 7% of US workers” as evidence moving toward doom, with magnitude 30 and confidence 58 out of 100 in the human displacement category.

  2. The DoomBench assessment of “Goldman Sachs forecasts automation could displace 6% to 7% of US workers” is based on reporting from Goldman Sachs Research and records the editorial rationale, source quality, attribution, and revision history.

  3. DoomBench summarizes “Goldman Sachs forecasts automation could displace 6% to 7% of US workers” as follows: Goldman Sachs Research forecast that automation could displace 6% to 7% of US workers over the next decade and reported that...

    https://www.doombench.com/news/goldman-sachs-forecasts-automation-could-displace-6-to-7-of-us-workers-2026-09-11