Competitive race

Microsoft obtains an exclusive license to OpenAI's GPT-3

Microsoft announced an exclusive license to OpenAI's 175-billion-parameter GPT-3 language model, while OpenAI continued offering its public API. The agreement concentrated privileged commercialization rights and deepened the companies' frontier-model partnership.

CURRENT ASSESSMENT · REVISION 1
TOWARD DOOM36confidence 94/100

Why it moved the index

Exclusive commercial rights to a frontier general-purpose model strengthened concentration and competitive scaling incentives around a small number of firms. OpenAI's continued API access limited the exclusivity's practical scope.

AUDIT TRAIL

Assessment history

  1. R1
    Toward 36 · confidence 94

    New source-verified September 2020 frontier-model licensing event absent from the durable corpus.

    11 Aug 2026