Competitive race

OpenAI begins $38 billion AWS compute expansion for frontier and agent workloads

OpenAI and AWS signed a $38 billion agreement providing immediate access to large GPU clusters and expansion capacity for frontier and agentic workloads.

CURRENT ASSESSMENT · REVISION 1
TOWARD DOOM34confidence 82/100

Why it moved the index

Immediately available compute directly increases frontier-training and agent-workload capacity and deepens capital concentration, although much expansion remains future capacity.

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Assessment history

  1. R1
    Toward 34 · confidence 82

    New source-verified compute and concentration development absent from durable context.

    11 Aug 2026