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Misuse and incidents

Researchers forecast AI-amplified cyber, physical, and political misuse

A 2018 report led by Miles Brundage forecasts that AI could lower the cost and expertise needed for attacks, introduce new digital, physical, and political threats, and complicate attribution, while proposing prevention and mitigation measures.

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CURRENT ASSESSMENT · REVISION 1
TOWARD DOOM22confidence 79/100

Why it moved the index

The report provides an early, specific forecast of how broadly capable AI could scale and diversify malicious activity across cyber, physical, and political domains; it is evidence about a risk mechanism, not a claim that the forecast attacks had already occurred.

Assessment history

  1. R1
    Toward 22 · confidence 79

    Adds a source-verified foundational forecast of scalable AI misuse and its mitigation options.

    18 Sept 2026

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  1. DoomBench assesses “Researchers forecast AI-amplified cyber, physical, and political misuse” as evidence moving toward doom, with magnitude 22 and confidence 79 out of 100 in the misuse and incidents category.

  2. The DoomBench assessment of “Researchers forecast AI-amplified cyber, physical, and political misuse” is based on reporting from arXiv and records the editorial rationale, source quality, attribution, and revision history.

  3. DoomBench summarizes “Researchers forecast AI-amplified cyber, physical, and political misuse” as follows: A 2018 report led by Miles Brundage forecasts that AI could lower the cost and expertise needed for attacks, introduce new...

    https://www.doombench.com/news/researchers-forecast-ai-amplified-cyber-physical-and-political-misuse-2018-02-20