SHRM finds nontechnical barriers limit high automation-displacement risk to 5.1% of U.S. jobs
SHRM's spring 2026 U.S. worker survey estimated that 20% of wage and salary employment was already at least half automated, but only 5.1%, about 7.9 million jobs, faced high displacement risk after nontechnical barriers were considered. The report concluded that transformation of human work was more likely than wholesale elimination.
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Why it moved the index
Magnitude 54: national occupation-level evidence that broad task automation is not translating one-for-one into displacement materially strengthens the human-resilience side of the labor pathway. Confidence 78: a dated primary SHRM survey directly supports the estimates, but they model risk from worker reports and nontechnical barriers rather than observing long-run job losses.
Assessment history
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R1
Away 54 · confidence 78
Adds missing June 2026 primary U.S. labor evidence quantifying both broad task automation and barriers that sharply limit near-term displacement risk.
16 Aug 2026