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Vercel gateway data shows open-weight models took 56% of production tokens

Vercel reported that open-weight models processed 56% of tokens routed through its AI Gateway in August, up from 7% in December 2025. Their growing use helped reduce the gateway's average token price by 23.2% during August, although the sample represents Vercel customers rather than the whole market.

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CURRENT ASSESSMENT · REVISION 1
TOWARD DOOM39confidence 84/100

Why it moved the index

A majority open-weight token share and sharply falling inference cost on a production gateway are direct evidence that capable model access is diffusing and becoming cheaper, increasing competitive pressure and the number of actors able to deploy consequential AI. Confidence is limited because Vercel's gateway traffic is a large but nonrepresentative sample of the wider market.

Assessment history

  1. R1
    Toward 39 · confidence 84

    Adds distinct primary production-usage evidence on open-weight diffusion and falling inference costs that was absent from the durable record.

    18 Sept 2026

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  1. DoomBench assesses “Vercel gateway data shows open-weight models took 56% of production tokens” as evidence moving toward doom, with magnitude 39 and confidence 84 out of 100 in the competitive race category.

  2. The DoomBench assessment of “Vercel gateway data shows open-weight models took 56% of production tokens” is based on reporting from Vercel AI Gateway Production Index and records the editorial rationale, source quality, attribution, and...

  3. DoomBench summarizes “Vercel gateway data shows open-weight models took 56% of production tokens” as follows: Vercel reported that open-weight models processed 56% of tokens routed through its AI Gateway in August, up from 7% in...

    https://www.doombench.com/news/vercel-gateway-data-shows-open-weight-models-took-56-of-production-tokens-2026-09-17